FIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—Republicans are well-positioned to win reelection and pick up a few seats in attorney general offices across the country this November, according to a new report first provided to the Daily Signal.
The Republican Attorneys General Association conducted and reviewed polling across the 30 races and delivered this takeaway: “The political environment for Republican attorneys general is far stronger than conventional wisdom suggests.”
The report notes that Democrats are defending four states that President Donald Trump won in the 2024 election, while Republicans are defending no states that then-Vice President Kamala Harris won that year.
RAGA and its related entities have spent $12.5 million through direct contributions to candidates, independent expenditures, or media reservations, the report states. According to IRS tax filings, the Democratic Attorneys General Association, RAGA’s counterpart, spent $15.9 million in total expenditures in 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, and RAGA spent $16.6 million in the same period.
Republican incumbent attorneys general are well-positioned, according to RAGA’s polling. Iowa’s Brenna Bird leads Democrat Nate Willems by four points (41% to 37%), while Kansas’ Kris Kobach leads Democrat challenger Chris Mann by a similar margin (44% to 40%).
Meanwhile, Democrat incumbents face serious challenges. The report claims that 45% of Minnesotans have an unfavorable opinion of Attorney General Keith Ellison (a May Tarrance Group poll found the number at 46.5%). RAGA’s internal polling suggests that, with the right message, Republican nominee Ron Schutz can prevail against Ellison, while the GOP nominee in Wisconsin, Eric Toney, can best incumbent Attorney General Josh Kaul.
According to the report, open attorney general races in states currently led by Republicans—Georgia, Ohio, and Texas—are safer than open races in Democrat-held states—Michigan and Nevada.
“Across the battleground map, Republican AG candidates are consistently outperforming and outpolling the ticket,” the report states. The only exceptions involve open attorney general races where an incumbent attorney general is running for governor (a Republican in Texas, a Democrat in Nevada).
“Historically, Republican AG candidates have outperformed gubernatorial and senatorial candidates in midterm elections,” the report notes. “In 2022, the three closest AG races in the country were in Arizona (where the Democrat candidate won by 0.01%), Minnesota (where the Democrat candidate won by 0.6%), and Wisconsin (where the Democrat candidate won by 1.4%).” In each state, Democrat governor candidates won by larger margins.
RAGA’s polling indicates competitive races in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while it found Republicans leading by more than the margin of error in Iowa and Kansas.
