After collapsing in January (-17.6% MoM – worst since July 2013 amid weather disruptions), US New Home Sales have risen strongly for two straight months – up 8.9% MoM in February and up 7.4% MoM in March…Source: BloombergThis lifted new home sales by 3.3% YoY, but the total SAAR remains below Dec 2025 levels…Source: BloombergNew home sales have really gone nowhere in three years. Median new home prices plunged in March from $407k to $387.4k – its lowest since July 2021.That is the biggest gap between median and average prices on record…Implying a growing number of homes being sold below the average price as the supply of new homes also plunged.Mortgage rates are higher in the last month but had fallen notably during the reporting period for today’s data…By region, sales in the South, the nation’s biggest home-selling region, increased 11.1%, while purchases in the Northeast rebounded sharply.March contract signings fell in the Midwest and West.Homebuilders, who have been using a combination of incentives and price cuts, saw a pickup in prospective-buyer traffic in March after severe winter weather limited buyer demand early this year.So it appears the market is doing Trump’s job for him (despite rising rates) as price-drops improve affordability (which is shaping up to be a key issue in the midterm elections in November.
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